[Ips-geo-warning] SWS GEOMAGNETIC WARNING issued 0019 UT on 10 Oct 2021

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING 21/32
ISSUED AT 0019UT/10 OCTOBER 2021
BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.

AR2882 produced M1.6 flare at 09/0638 UT, which triggered a full-halo 
CME first observed in LASCO C2 imagery starting at 09/0712 UTC. 
The CME is expected to arrive at Earth on UT day 11 October at 
around 1700 UT +/- 6 hours. As a result, the geomagnetic conditions 
are expected to reach minor storm level with a chance of major 
storms. The global Kp index is expected to reach 6 (G2 storms), 
with a chance of 7 (G3 storms). On the local night of 11 October 
(and maybe 12 October), aurora may be visible from Tasmania, 
the coastline of Victoria and the southwest coast of Western 
Australia.

INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED 
DUE TO CORONAL MASS EJECTION
FROM 11-12 OCTOBER 2021
_____________________________________________________________

GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST
11 Oct:  Minor Storm
12 Oct:  Unsettled to Active

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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