[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 25 March 26 issued 2330 UT on 25 Mar 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Thu Mar 26 10:30:50 AEDT 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/25 MARCH 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 25 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 26 MARCH - 28 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 25 Mar:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 25 Mar: 140/94


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             26 Mar             27 Mar             28 Mar
Activity     R0-R1              R0-R1              R0-R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   145/99             142/96             140/94

COMMENT: Solar flare activity on UT day 25-Mar was R0, with no 
solar flares. There are currently seven numbered sunspots on 
the disk. Active region (AR) 4398 (S15W24, beta) showed some 
minor growth but appeared to mature. AR4401 (N24E23, beta) developed 
larger trailer spots. All other sunspots are either stable or 
in decay. Solar activity is expected to be R0-R1 over 26-28 Mar. 

No Earth directed CMEs were observed on UT day 25-Mar.

 S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed on UT day 25-Mar.
 S0 solar radiation storm conditions are expected over 26-28 Mar. 

On UT day 25-Mar the solar wind environment was mildly disturbed, 
likely due to a weak passing transient. The solar wind speed 
ranged from 440 to 600 km/s. The peak interplanetary field strength 
(IMF, Bt) was 10 nT and the north-south IMF component range (Bz) 
was +9 to -8 nT. The solar wind environment is expected to be 
mostly near background levels over 26-27 Mar, and possibly experience 
an enhancement due to a coronal hole on 28-Mar.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 25 Mar: G0

Estimated Indices 25 Mar : A   K           
   Australian Region       8   22431120
      Cocos Island         5   22320110
      Darwin               -   --------
      Townsville           9   22431121
      Learmonth            8   22431120
      Alice Springs        8   22431111
      Gingin               8   32331220
      Canberra            11   22531121
      Kennaook Cape Grim  11   22532120
      Hobart              11   22531120    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 25 Mar :
      Macquarie Island    14   23542120
      Casey               20   44543221
      Mawson              30   45642251

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 25 Mar : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               7   (Quiet)
      Canberra             8   (Quiet)
      Hobart               4   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 25 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg        15
           Planetary             17                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 24 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        12
           Planetary             16   3434 3233     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
26 Mar    11    G0
27 Mar     8    G0
28 Mar    14    G0-G1

COMMENT: ASWFC Geomagnetic Warning 20 was issued on 24 March 
and is current for 24-26 Mar. G0 geomagnetic conditions were 
observed in the Australian region on UT day 25-Mar. G0-G2 geomagnetic 
conditions were observed in the Antarctic region. An isolated 
period of G1 was observed on the planetary scale. Mostly G0 geomagnetic 
conditions are expected over 26-28 Mar. Isolated periods of G1 
may be possible on 28-Mar due to connection with a coronal hole.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
25 Mar      Normal-fair    Normal         Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
26 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
27 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
28 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 25-Mar were 
mostly normal, with some possible degradations from 0600 UT. 
Further degradations were noted in the northern hemisphere from 
1600 UT. HF radio propagation conditions are expected to be mostly 
normal over 26-27 Mar. Some mild degradations are possible by 
28-Mar due to expected connection to a coronal hole.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
25 Mar    77

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      98
Mar      87
Apr      85

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
26 Mar    90    Near predicted monthly values
27 Mar   100    Near predicted monthly values
28 Mar   105    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 25-Mar were near predicted values to 20% depressed. 
Spread-F was observed in Hobart and conditions were degraded 
in Darwin during local night hours. MUFs are expected to continue 
recovering to near predicted monthly values over 26-28 Mar.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 24 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.3E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.4E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 5.00E+08   (moderate fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:23%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B5.9

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 24 Mar
Speed: 584 km/sec  Density:    0.0 p/cc  Temp:   122000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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