[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 10 June 26 issued 2330 UT on 10 Jun 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Thu Jun 11 09:30:52 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 JUNE 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 10 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 11 JUNE - 13 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 10 Jun:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 10 Jun: 124/77


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             11 Jun             12 Jun             13 Jun
Activity     R0-R1              R0-R1              R0-R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   130/84             128/81             128/81

COMMENT: Solar activity on UT day 10-Jun was R0, with no solar 
flares. There are currently six numbered sunspots on the solar 
disk. Active sunspot region (AR) 4461 (S13W02, beta) has shown 
some minor changes throughout the day. All other sunspot regions 
are either stable or in decay. Solar activity is expected to 
be R0-R1 over 11-13 Jun. 

No Earth directed CMEs were observed in available images.

 S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed on UT day 10-Jun. 
S0 solar radiation storm conditions are expected over 11-13. 

The solar wind environment on UT day 10-Jun was near background levels.
 The solar wind speed ranged between 450-360 km/s and is currently steady. 
The peak total interplanetary field strength (IMF, Bt) was 7 nT and 
the north-south IMF component range (Bz) was +5 to -5 nT. The solar wind speed 
is expected to begin increasing by either late 11-Jun or else 
on 12-Jun due to a recurring coronal hole.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 10 Jun: G0

Estimated Indices 10 Jun : A   K           
   Australian Region       3   11023001
      Cocos Island         2   01021110
      Darwin               4   11023111
      Townsville           4   11023111
      Learmonth            5   11123111
      Alice Springs        3   01023000
      Gingin               3   10123001
      Canberra             4   10033001
      Kennaook Cape Grim   6   11034001
      Hobart               6   11034000    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 10 Jun :
      Macquarie Island    17   01256000
      Casey                7   22233101
      Mawson               8   22222114

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 10 Jun : 
      Darwin              17   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            7   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin              51   (Unsettled)
      Canberra            52   (Unsettled)
      Hobart              33   (Quiet to unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 10 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 09 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             11   2222 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
11 Jun    17    G0
12 Jun    25    G1, chance G2
13 Jun    25    G1, chance G2

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian 
region on UT day 10-Jun. G0-G2 geomagnetic conditions were observed 
in the Antarctic region. Mostly G0 geomagnetic conditions are 
expected on 11-Jun, then G0-G1 with a chance of G2 over 12-13 
Jun due to anticipated entry into a recurrent coronal hole by 
late 11-Jun at the earliest.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Jun      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
12 Jun      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Fair
13 Jun      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Fair

COMMENT: HF radio propagation condition on UT day 10-Jun were 
mostly normal, with some mild degradations throughout the globe. 
HF radio propagation conditions are expected to be mostly normal 
on 11-Jun, becoming mildly to moderately degraded over 12-13 
Jun due to anticipated geomagnetic activity from a coronal hole.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
10 Jun    78

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
May      67
Jun      68
Jul      65

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
11 Jun    85    Near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced
12 Jun    80    Near predicted monthly values
13 Jun    70    Near predicted monthly values to 15% depressed

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region were near predicted values on UT day 10-Jun. Sporadic-E 
was observed in Learmonth and Canberra overnight and spread-F 
in Hobart. MUFs are expected to be near predicted values to 15% 
enhanced on 11-Jun, but trending to near predicted values on 
12-Jun and up to 15% depressed by 13-Jun due to anticipated geomagnetic 
activity from a coronal hole.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 09 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   9.0E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.70E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:10%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B7.4

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 09 Jun
Speed: 443 km/sec  Density:    3.2 p/cc  Temp:    56600 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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