[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 07 June 26 issued 2330 UT on 07 Jun 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Mon Jun 8 09:30:48 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/07 JUNE 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 08 JUNE - 10 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:** RED **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Jun:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Jun: 134/88


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             08 Jun             09 Jun             10 Jun
Activity     R0-R1              R0-R1              R0-R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   135/89             132/86             130/84

COMMENT: Solar activity on UT day 7-Jun was R0, with no solar 
flares. Active sunspot region (AR) 4464 (S13E39, beta) has grown 
over the past day, but all other sunspot regions have either 
stabilised or began to decay. Solar activity over 8-10 Jun is 
expected to be R0-R1. 

No Earth directed CMEs were observed on UT day 7-Jun. 

S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed on UT day 7-Jun. 
The >10 MeV protons are currently enhanced but under 1 pfu, but 
may observe a small increase by the middle of the day due to an 
anticipated CME arrival. S0 solar radiation storm conditions are 
expected over 8-10 Jun. 

The solar wind environment on UT day 7-Jun was near background 
levels. The solar wind speed ranged between 600-500 km/s and is 
currently on a slow decline. The peak total interplanetary field
 strength (IMF, Bt) was 5 nT and the north-south IMF component 
range (Bz) was +4 to -4 nT. The solar wind environment is expected 
to become disturbed by mid 8-Jun UT day due to a CME that is expected 
to arrive from 1300 UT +/- 10 hours. This disturbance is expected to 
continue into 9-Jun, with conditions returning to background levels by 
10-Jun.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Jun: G0

Estimated Indices 07 Jun : A   K           
   Australian Region       5   21221211
      Cocos Island         3   20120200
      Darwin               4   21221201
      Townsville           5   21221211
      Learmonth            7   21231311
      Alice Springs        4   21221210
      Gingin               7   21231311
      Canberra             4   21221200
      Kennaook Cape Grim   6   21231211
      Hobart               5   11131211    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 07 Jun :
      Macquarie Island     7   21141300
      Casey               10   33331311
      Mawson              14   33343223

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 Jun : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             2   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              9                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        19
           Planetary             17   4443 322-     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
08 Jun    40    G2-G3
09 Jun    30    G1-G2
10 Jun    14    G0

COMMENT: ASWFC Geomagnetic Warning 36 was issued on 6 June and 
is current for 8-9 Jun. G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed 
in the Australian region on UT day 7-Jun. G0 geomagnetic conditions 
were observed in the Antarctic region. G2-G3 geomagnetic conditions 
are expected from mid 8-Jun UT day due to an expected CME arrival 
from 1300 UT. Impacts are expected to continue into 9-Jun and 
G1-G2 conditions are expected on this day. Mostly G0 geomagnetic 
conditions are expected by 10-Jun.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Jun      Normal-fair    Normal         Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jun      Normal         Normal-fair    Normal-fair
09 Jun      Normal-fair    Fair           Fair
10 Jun      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Normal-fair

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on UT day 7-Jun were 
mostly normal, with some mild degradations in the southern hemisphere. 
HF radio propagation conditions are expected to be normal for 
the first half of UT day 8-Jun, before becoming degraded due 
to anticipated geomagnetic activity. Conditions are likely to 
be degraded on 9-Jun, but mostly recovered by 10-Jun.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
07 Jun    93

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
May      67
Jun      68
Jul      65

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
08 Jun    85    Handed by 15% to near predicted monthly values
09 Jun    70    Near predicted monthly values to 10-15% depressed
10 Jun    90    Near predicted monthly values to 10-15% depressed

COMMENT: ASWFC Preliminary HF Communications Warning 53 was issued 
on 6 June and is current for 8-10 Jun. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region were near predicted values to 
20% enhanced. Spread-F was observed in Hobart during local night 
hours and sporadic-E with degraded signal with observed in Learmonth 
during local night hours. MUFs are expected to be enhanced by 
15% for most of 8-Jun, trending to near predicted values towards 
the end of the day. Mild depressed of 10-15% are possible over 
9-10 Jun. Spread-F is possible during local night hours over 
9-10 Jun.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 06 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.0E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  3.3E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.70E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 5%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B9.9

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 06 Jun
Speed: 586 km/sec  Density:    1.1 p/cc  Temp:   153000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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