[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 05 June 26 issued 2330 UT on 05 Jun 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Sat Jun 6 09:30:52 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/05 JUNE 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 05 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 06 JUNE - 08 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 05 Jun:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 Jun: 141/95


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             06 Jun             07 Jun             08 Jun
Activity     R1-R2              R0-R1              R0-R1
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   142/96             140/94             140/94

COMMENT: Solar activity on UT day 5-Jun was R0, with no solar 
flares. There are currently six numbered sunspot regions on the 
solar disk. The dominating active region (AR) 4455 (N15W46, beta) 
has remained mostly stable with some minor decay of its trailing 
spots. Regions 4456 (N18W19, beta), 4458 (S04W33, beta) and 4462 
(N17E34, beta) have shown minor growth but do not contain a strong 
leader spot. All other sunspot regions are either stable or in 
decay. Solar activity is expected to be R1-R2 on 6-Jun, trending 
to R0-R1 over 7-8 Jun. 

A halo CME was observed from 0924 UT on 5-Jun, but is considered a 
farside event. No Earth directed CMEs were observed on UT day 5-Jun. 

S0 solar radiation storm conditions were observed on UT day 5-Jun. 
S0 solar radiation storm conditions are expected over 6-8 Jun. 

The solar wind on UT day 5-Jun was disturbed due to the late arrival 
of the anticipated CMEs. An arrival was noted from 0423 UT. Further 
arrival signatures are not clear in the solar wind, but arrivals are 
evident from ACE EPAM data. The solar wind speed ranged from 425 km/s to 
740 km/s and is on an increasing trend. The peak total interplanetary 
field strength (IMF, Bt) was 20 nT and the north-south IMF component 
range (Bz) was +14 to -17 nT with some brief periods of southward 
IMF. The solar wind is expected to return to near background 
levels by 6-Jun, remaining quiet over 7-8 Jun.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 05 Jun: G1

Estimated Indices 05 Jun : A   K           
   Australian Region      21   14225533
      Cocos Island        13   14223333
      Darwin              17   14324433
      Townsville          21   14225533
      Learmonth           27   15235544
      Alice Springs       20   04225533
      Gingin              22   13225544
      Canberra            19   03225533
      Kennaook Cape Grim  20   03225543
      Hobart              19   03225533    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 05 Jun :
      Macquarie Island    28   02036643
      Casey               15   13324433
      Mawson              34   14225437

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 05 Jun : 
      Darwin               2   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra            13   (Quiet)
      Hobart              34   (Quiet to unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg        25
           Planetary             44                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 04 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              6   3311 211-     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
06 Jun    17    G0-G1, chance G2
07 Jun    11    G0
08 Jun     8    G0

COMMENT: ASWFC Geomagnetic Warning 35 was issued on 4 June and 
is current for 4-6 Jun. On UT day 5-Jun G1 geomagnetic conditions 
were observed in the Australian region. G1-G2 geomagnetic conditions 
were observed in the Antarctic region and the planetary scale 
registered G2 conditions. Geomagnetic activity has mostly subsided 
by the end of 5-Jun, but given the solar wind is currently very 
strong G0-G1 geomagnetic conditions are expected on 6-Jun due 
to any lingering activity with a chance for isolated periods 
of G2. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected over 7-8 Jun.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
05 Jun      Normal         Normal-fair    Normal-fair    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Jun      Normal         Normal-fair    Normal-fair
07 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: Global ionospheric conditions on UT day 5-Jun were mostly 
normal, with some degradations in the southern hemisphere over 
the day. HF radio conditions may be mildly degraded on 6-Jun 
due to lingering geomagnetic activity, but recovered by 7-8 Jun.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
05 Jun    77

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
May      67
Jun      68
Jul      65

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
06 Jun    80    Near predicted monthly values to 10-20% depressed
07 Jun    90    Near predicted monthly values to 10-20% depressed
08 Jun    95    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 52 was issued on 
4 June and is current for 4-6 Jun. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 5-Jun were near predicted values to 15% enhanced. 
Conditions were degraded in Darwin and Norfolk Island during 
local night hours. Spread-F was observed in Townsville and Hobart 
during local night hours. MUFs are expected to become 10-20% 
depressed over 6-7 Jun due to recent geomagnetic activity. Some 
spread-F is possible. Conditions are likely to improve by 8-Jun.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 04 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.60E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 3%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B9.4

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 04 Jun
Speed: 416 km/sec  Density:    1.8 p/cc  Temp:   149000 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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