[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 23 February 26 issued 2330 UT on 23 Feb 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Tue Feb 24 10:30:51 AEDT 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/23 FEBRUARY 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 23 FEBRUARY AND FORECAST FOR 24 FEBRUARY - 26 FEBRUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: ** YELLOW **
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 23 Feb:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 23 Feb: 108/58


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             24 Feb             25 Feb             26 Feb
Activity     R0                 R0                 R0
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   110/60             115/66             115/66

COMMENT: Solar flare activity was at the R0 level during UT day 
23-Feb, with no notable flares observed. The Sun is currently 
spotless, with no active regions on the visible disk. Solar flare 
activity is expected to remain at the R0 level through 24-26 
Feb. S0 solar radiation storm conditions were elevated, but below 
the S1 level on 23-Feb. S0 conditions are forecast over 24-26 
Feb. No geoeffective Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed 
over the past UT day. The solar wind speed was elevated over 
the UT day 23-Feb, mostly ranging between 600 and 750 km/s. The 
wind speed is currently at around 625 km/s. The interplanetary 
magnetic field strength (IMF, Bt) peaked at 8 nT. The north-south 
component (Bz) of the magnetic field ranged between -7 and +4 
nT. The solar wind speed is forecast to remain elevated on 24-Feb 
due to ongoing coronal hole high speed wind stream effects. A 
decline towards background levels is expected over 25-26 Feb 
as coronal hole high speed wind stream effects wane.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 23 Feb: G0

Estimated Indices 23 Feb : A   K           
   Australian Region      14   33233143
      Cocos Island        11   23123143
      Darwin              12   33233133
      Townsville          13   33233242
      Learmonth           14   33233243
      Alice Springs       11   33233132
      Gingin              16   33243243
      Canberra            13   33233142
      Kennaook Cape Grim  18   33344243
      Hobart              17   33244143    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 23 Feb :
      Macquarie Island    25   25355233
      Casey               26   45534243
      Mawson              47   46544266

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 23 Feb : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin             100   (Minor storm)
      Canberra            83   (Minor storm)
      Hobart             120   (Major storm)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 23 Feb : A 
           Fredericksburg        17
           Planetary             22                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 22 Feb :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        24
           Planetary             37   4554 4445     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
24 Feb    18    G0, chance of G1
25 Feb    11    G0
26 Feb     8    G0

COMMENT: ASWFC Geomagnetic Warning 12 was issued on 22 February 
and is current for 22-24 Feb. G0 geomagnetic conditions were 
observed in the Australian region on 23-Feb. Mostly G1 conditions 
were observed in the Antarctic region, with G2 conditions observed 
at Mawson. G1 geomagnetic conditions were observed at the planetary 
level for one period in the first half of the UT day. G0 conditions, 
with a chance of G1 are expected on 24-Feb. G0 conditions are 
expected over 25-26 Feb as coronal hole high speed wind stream 
effects wane.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
23 Feb      Normal         Normal-fair    Fair           

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
24 Feb      Normal         Normal-fair    Fair
25 Feb      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
26 Feb      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair

COMMENT: Mostly poor propagation conditions were observed in 
the southern hemisphere at all latitudes over the first half 
of the UT day 23-Feb. Conditions recovered towards mostly normal 
by the end of the UT day. Conditions were mostly normal in the 
northern hemisphere throughout the day. Ionospheric conditions 
are expected to continue to improve towards normal at all latitudes 
over 24-26 Feb, as ongoing geomagnetic activity subsides.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
23 Feb    46

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      96
Feb      88
Mar      87

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
24 Feb    60    Depressed 15%/near predicted monthly values
25 Feb    80    Near predicted monthly values
26 Feb    88    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: ASWFC HF Communications Warning 24 was issued on 22 
February and is current for 23-24 Feb. Maximum Usable Frequencies 
(MUFs) were depressed for most of the day in the Australian region. 
Conditions were depressed by up to 40% in the northern Australian 
region and up to 25% in the southern Australian region. Strong 
sporadic E was observed during local night hours at Perth and 
Hobart. Spread F was observed at Hobart, also during local night 
hours. Minor depressions are expected to continue for the first 
half of the UT day 24-Feb. Conditions are expected to improve 
towards predicted monthly values from the second half of 24-Feb 
through to 26-Feb.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 22 Feb
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.2E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.4E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.60E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 4%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B3.0

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 22 Feb
Speed: 615 km/sec  Density:    3.2 p/cc  Temp:   294000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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