[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 29 April 26 issued 2331 UT on 29 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Thu Apr 30 09:31:23 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/29 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 29 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 30 APRIL - 02 MAY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 29 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 29 Apr: 143/97


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             30 Apr             01 May             02 May
Activity     R1, chance of R2   R1, chance of R2   R1, chance of R2 
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   140/94             135/89             132/86

COMMENT: Solar flare activity on UT day 29-Apr was at the R0 
level, with several low level C-class flares observed. There 
are currently five numbered sunspot regions visible on the solar 
disk and one unnumbered region. Active Region (AR) 4420 (N16W54, 
beta-gamma-delta) is the most magnetically complex region on 
the disk. This region has shown mild decay and redistribution 
of its leader and intermediate spots. AR 4424 (N17W19, beta-gamma) 
has exhibited mild growth in its intermediate spots. Regions 
4423 (S07W30, beta) and 4428 (S23E04, beta) have shown spot growth 
over the UT day. An unnumbered region recently appeared on the 
solar disk near S06E50 (alpha) and is stable. All other sunspot 
regions are either stable or in decay. Solar flare activity is 
expected to be at the R1 level over 30-Apr to 02-May, with a 
chance of R2 due to the complexity of regions 4420 and 4424. 
S0 solar proton conditions were observed on UT day 29-Apr. S0 
solar proton conditions are expected over 30-Apr to 02-May. No 
Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed. 
The solar wind speed on UT day 29-Apr mildly declined, ranging 
from 345 to 310 km/s and is currently near 320 km/s. The peak 
total interplanetary magnetic field strength (IMF, Bt) was 8 
nT and the north-south IMF component (Bz) range was -4 to +5 
nT. The solar wind speed is expected to mildly increase on 30-Apr 
due to a small southern hemisphere coronal hole, then ease on 
01-May. A northern hemisphere coronal hole is currently crossing 
the central meridian and may influence the solar wind speed on 
02-May.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 29 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 29 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region       1   00002101
      Cocos Island         2   11110011
      Darwin               3   11102111
      Townsville           3   12102012
      Learmonth            2   00002111
      Alice Springs        1   00002001
      Gingin               2   10002101
      Canberra             1   00002001
      Kennaook Cape Grim   1   00002101
      Hobart               1   00002101    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 29 Apr :
      Macquarie Island     0   00001100
      Casey                3   12212100
      Mawson               3   01111121

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 29 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 29 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              4                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 28 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              3   1111 1110    


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
30 Apr     8    G0
01 May     6    G0
02 May     6    G0

COMMENT: G0 geomagnetic conditions were observed in the Australian, 
planetary and Antarctic regions on UT day 29-Apr. G0 planetary 
geomagnetic conditions are expected over 30-Apr to 02-May.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
29 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal         

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
30 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair
01 May      Normal         Normal         Normal
02 May      Normal         Normal         Normal

COMMENT: Global ionospheric conditions were mostly normal across 
UT day 29-Apr, with some degradations observed in the southern 
hemisphere. Mostly normal ionospheric conditions are forecast 
for 30-Apr to 02-May. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
29 Apr    69

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
30 Apr    75    Near predicted monthly values
01 May    75    Near predicted monthly values
02 May    75    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum Usable Frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region were near predicted monthly values across UT day 29-Apr. 
Spread F was observed at Hobart during local night hours. MUFs 
are expected to remain near predicted monthly values over 30-Apr 
to 02-May. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 28 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   Not available
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  Not available
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: Not available
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B9.4

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 28 Apr
Speed: 364 km/sec  Density:    3.8 p/cc  Temp:    48700 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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