[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 19 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 19 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Mon Apr 20 09:30:46 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/19 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 19 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 20 APRIL - 22 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 19 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 19 Apr: 105/54


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             20 Apr             21 Apr             22 Apr
Activity     R0                 R0                 R0 
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   105/54             110/60             120/72

COMMENT: Solar flare activity on UT day 19-Apr was at the R0 
level, with no C-class or greater flares observed over the past 
24 hours. There are currently two Active Regions (ARs) on the 
visible solar disk, with AR 4419 (N15W11, beta) being the largest 
and most magnetically complex. Both this region and AR 4415 (S18W76, 
alpha) have remained stable throughout UT day 19-Apr. Solar flare 
activity is forecast to remain at the R0 level over 20-22 Apr. 
S0 solar proton conditions were observed throughout the past 
UT day, with solar proton flux remaining at background levels. 
S0 solar proton conditions are expected over 20-22 Apr. No coronal 
mass ejections were observed in the past 24 hours in available 
coronagraph imagery. The solar wind speed was elevated on 19-Apr 
due to a coronal hole high speed wind stream. The solar wind 
speed was broadly constant, broadly ranging between 450 and 520 
km/s across the UT day. The interplanetary magnetic field strength 
(IMF, Bt) peaked early in the UT day, reaching 12 nT, before 
declining over the course of the UT day. The north-south component 
(Bz) ranged between -7 and +9 nT over this time. An extended 
period of southward Bz was observed between 19/0410-0550UT. The 
solar wind speed is expected to slowly decline over 20-22 Apr, 
as the coronal hole high speed wind stream moves past its geoeffective 
position.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 19 Apr: G2

Estimated Indices 19 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region      12   33432320
      Cocos Island         6   22312210
      Darwin              12   33432221
      Townsville          12   33432221
      Learmonth           13   33432321
      Alice Springs       11   33432220
      Gingin              12   32343320
      Canberra            15   33532320
      Kennaook Cape Grim  18   24543320
      Hobart              15   34442320    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 19 Apr :
      Macquarie Island    28   34564330
      Casey               14   43332411
      Mawson              60   55743656

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 19 Apr : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Gingin              21   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Canberra            38   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart              24   (Quiet to unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 19 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg        18
           Planetary             26                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 18 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        24
           Planetary             33   ---- ----     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
20 Apr    20    G0, chance of G1
21 Apr    15    G0
22 Apr    12    G0

COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions in the Australian region were 
at the G0 level throughout 19-Apr. A G1 interval was observed 
at Cape Grim. G2 geomagnetic conditions were reported at the 
planetary level, with an isolated G3 interval reported in the 
Antarctic region at Mawson. These geomagnetic conditions are 
due to an ongoing coronal hole high speed wind stream. The effects 
of this wind stream are expected to wane, with G0 geomagnetic 
conditions, with a chance of G1, are forecast for 20-Apr. This 
will decline further to G0 conditions over 21-22 Apr as this 
high speed wind stream moves past a geoeffective position.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
19 Apr      Poor           Poor           Poor           

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
20 Apr      Fair-poor      Fair-poor      Fair-poor
21 Apr      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Fair
22 Apr      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair

COMMENT: Global ionospheric conditions on UT day 19-Apr were 
poor, with widespread degradations observed at all latitudes 
due to ongoing geomagnetic activity. Conditions are expected 
to slowly recover over 20-22 Apr, with fair conditions on 20-Apr 
improving towards normal-fair conditions on 21-Apr, and normal 
conditions by 22-Apr.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
19 Apr    71

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
20 Apr    65    Depressed 15 to 20%/near predicted monthly values
21 Apr    75    Near predicted monthly values
22 Apr    80    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: ASWFC HF Communications Warning 37 was issued on 19 
April and is current for 19-20 Apr. Maximum Usable Frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region on UT day 19-Apr were initially 
near predicted monthly values, but became depressed over the 
UT day due to ongoing geomagnetic activity. Depressions of up 
to 35% were recorded across the Northern Australian region and 
at the Cocos Islands during local night and dawn hours. Depressions 
of 20-25% were also reported across the Southern Australian region, 
as well as the Antarctic region and Niue Island. Strong spread-F 
was present in the southern Australian region, and sporadic-E 
was recorded at Canberra and Norfolk Island. MUFs are expected 
to remain depressed by 15-20% for UT day 20-Apr due to the ongoing 
geomagnetic activity, before trending towards predicted monthly 
values over 21-22 Apr.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 18 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.8E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.10E+07   (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 2%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B3.0

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 18 Apr
Speed: 490 km/sec  Density:    5.4 p/cc  Temp:   190000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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