[Ips-dsgr] ASWFC Daily Report - 10 April 26 issued 2330 UT on 10 Apr 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre aswfc at bom.gov.au
Sat Apr 11 09:30:49 AEST 2026


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 APRIL 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 10 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 11 APRIL - 13 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:** YELLOW **     ION: GREEN
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 10 Apr:  R0

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 10 Apr:  94/40


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             11 Apr             12 Apr             13 Apr
Activity     R0                 R0                 R0
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   92/37              90/34              90/34

COMMENT: Solar flare activity was at the R0 level on UT day 10-Apr. 
No significant flare activity was observed. There is currently 
no region of significance on the visible solar disk. A small 
solar region AR4416 (N19E17, beta) emerged on disk and rapidly 
grew, though this initial rapid growth rate may not be sustained. 
Small solar region AR4414 (N13E41, beta) is decaying. There are 
currently three numbered solar regions on the visible solar disk. 
The other solar region is a stable monopole. Solar activity is 
expected to be at the R0 level for 11-13 Apr. S0 solar radiation 
storm conditions were observed on 10-Apr. S0 solar radiation 
storm conditions are expected over 11-13 Apr. No Earth directed 
coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. A very minor faint 
narrow westward CME was observed from 10/0449UT that could not 
be correlated to the solar disk. Three isolated coronal holes 
are now located west of the solar central meridian and the Earth 
entered a coronal hole wind stream from 10/0305UT. The solar 
wind speed gradually increased from light to strong on 10-Apr, 
ranging from 373 to 662 km/s and is currently at 599 km/s. The 
peak total interplanetary magnetic field strength (IMF, Bt) was 
11 nT and the north-south component (Bz) range was -9 and +11 
nT. An interval of mildly southward IMF conditions was observed 
10/1100-1300UT. The solar wind speed is expected to be strong 
on 11-12 Apr due to the influence of the solar coronal hole wind 
stream.

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 10 Apr: G0

Estimated Indices 10 Apr : A   K           
   Australian Region      13   32324331
      Cocos Island        10   32323231
      Darwin              13   33323332
      Townsville          13   33324321
      Learmonth           13   32324331
      Alice Springs       13   32324331
      Gingin              12   32314331
      Canberra            10   22314321
      Kennaook Cape Grim  11   22314331
      Hobart              10   22314321    

Estimated Antarctic Regional K Indices 10 Apr :
      Macquarie Island    22   32226531
      Casey               18   34523331
      Mawson              36   64424463

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 10 Apr : 
      Darwin               7   (Quiet)
      Townsville           4   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice Springs        4   (Quiet)
      Gingin               9   (Quiet)
      Canberra            31   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart              43   (Unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and International Center for Space Weather 
Science and Education, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 10 Apr : A 
           Fredericksburg        19
           Planetary             22                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 09 Apr :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              7   2121 2222     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
11 Apr    18    G0-G1
12 Apr    16    G0, chance G1
13 Apr    11    G0

COMMENT: ASWFC Geomagnetic Warning 27 was issued on 10 April 
and is current for 11 Apr only. G0 geomagnetic conditions were 
observed in the Australian region on 10-Apr. G1-G2 geomagnetic 
periods were observed in the Antarctic region. G0 with G1 periods 
are expected over 11-12 Apr due to a coronal hole high speed 
wind stream.

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Apr      Normal         Fair-normal    Poor-fair      

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
11 Apr      Normal         Fair-normal    Poor-fair
12 Apr      Normal         Fair-normal    Fair
13 Apr      Normal         Normal         Fair-normal

COMMENT: HF radio propagation conditions on 10-Apr were poor 
at times at high latitudes and fair to normal at middle latitudes. 
Mildly increased ionospheric absorption were observed on the 
Macquarie Island riometer during the intervals 10/0200-0600UT 
and 10/1300-1600UT. Generally fair to normal HF conditions are 
expected on 11-12 Apr, with periods of poor to fair conditions 
at high latitudes due to mild geomagnetic activity. High latitude 
HF conditions are expected to improve on 13-Apr.

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
10 Apr    79

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15-20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 30% over the UT day.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Mar      92
Apr      83
May      81

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
11 Apr    70    Depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted monthly values
12 Apr    80    Depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted monthly values
13 Apr    90    Near predicted monthly values

COMMENT: Maximum Usable Frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region were generally near predicted monthly values on 10-Apr. 
Northern Australian region MUFs were depressed by up to 20% at 
times during local night hours. Spread F was observed at Hobart 
during local night hours. MUFs are generally expected to be near 
predicted monthly values over 11-13 Apr for the northern Australian 
region with brief 15% depressions after local dawn for the southern 
Australian region during 11-12 Apr due to mild geomagnetic activity 
induced by a coronal hole wind stream.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 09 Apr
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   8.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.30E+08   (moderate fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:19%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: B3.9

DSCOVR Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 09 Apr
Speed: 373 km/sec  Density:    2.1 p/cc  Temp:    59900 K  Bz:  -2 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
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Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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