[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 19 June 08

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 19/2330Z JUNE 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 19 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 20 JUNE - 22 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 19 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 19 Jun:  65/0


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             20 Jun             21 Jun             22 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    65/0               65/0               65/0

COMMENT: Solar activity was Very Low over the last 24 hours, 
expected to continue next 3 days. Solar wind speed returned to 
wind stream. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 19 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 19 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   11122221
      Darwin               5   21122221
      Townsville          10   22233232
      Learmonth            6   11132222
      Camden               4   01022221
      Canberra             4   00122221
      Hobart               6   11122321
      Casey(Ant)           8   22232321
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 19 Jun : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Camden               4   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             7   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 19 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 18 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              9   3322 2102     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
20 Jun     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
21 Jun     5    Quiet 
22 Jun     3    Quiet 

COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions were generally Quiet over the 
last 24 hours. Expect mostly Quiet conditions 20 June with some 
Unsettled periods. Quiet conditions expected 21-22 June. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
19 Jun      Normal         Normal         Fair           
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
20 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
21 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
22 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
19 Jun     9

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
near predicted monthly values

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   5

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
20 Jun     5    near predicted monthly values 
21 Jun     5    near predicted monthly values 
22 Jun     5    near predicted monthly values 

COMMENT: The Australian ionosphere was mostly normal over the 
UT day. MUFs were near predicted monthly values. HF conditions 
were normal with the exception of the Antarctic region which 
saw some continuing degraded HF conditions. Expect mostly normal 
HF conditions with MUFs near predicted monthly values next 3 
days. 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 18 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.8E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.30E+08   (moderate fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:22%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 18 Jun
Speed: 637 km/sec  Density:    0.5 p/cc  Temp:   138000 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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