[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 October 06

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z OCTOBER 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 OCTOBER AND FORECAST FOR 09 OCTOBER - 11 OCTOBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Oct:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Oct:  75/13

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Oct             10 Oct             11 Oct
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    75/13              75/13              75/13

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Oct: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 08 Oct :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   22232111
      Darwin               6   22222112
      Learmonth            6   22232111
      Culgoora             7   22232121
      Camden               5   21232011
      Canberra             6   22232012
      Hobart               5   22231011
      Casey(Ant)           8   3--31122
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 Oct : 
      Charters_Towers      0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Camden              35   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart              28   (Quiet to unsettled)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Oct : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Oct :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary              9   0110 1334     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Oct     6    Quiet 
10 Oct     6    Quiet 
11 Oct     6    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Oct      Normal-fair    Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Oct      Normal         Normal         Normal
10 Oct      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Oct      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
08 Oct    15

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values apart from some
      depressions to 30% 11-16 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  10

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Oct    10    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Oct    10    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Oct    10    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 07 Oct
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.2E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.00E+08 (normal fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:10%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Oct
Speed: 349 km/sec  Density:  9.2 p/cc  Temp:  36800 K  Bz: 0 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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