[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 28 July 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 28 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 29 JULY - 31 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 28 Jul:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 28 Jul: 116/68

GOES satellite data for 27 Jul
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.90E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: B3.2
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             29 Jul             30 Jul             31 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   120/72             120/72             120/72




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 28 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 28 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       0   0100 0001
      Darwin               1   1100 0012
      Townsville           0   0000 0000
      Learmonth            3   1111 1213
      Canberra             0   0100 0000
      Hobart               0   0000 0000
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 28 JUL : 
      Darwin               6   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               8   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 28 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 27 Jul :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              9   2233 2323     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
29 Jul     6    Quiet 
30 Jul     7    Quiet 
31 Jul     6    Quiet 
COMMENT: Quiet conditions are expected. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
28 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
29 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal
30 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal
31 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
28 Jul   103

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 20% during local day,
     Enhanced by 40% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 35% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
29 Jul   115    Near predicted monthly values 
30 Jul   115    Near predicted monthly values 
31 Jul   115    Near predicted monthly values 


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