[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 01 July 01
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Jul 2 09:45:33 EST 2001
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 01 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 02 JULY - 04 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN MAG:*YELLOW* ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 01 Jul: Low
Flares: none.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 01 Jul: 135/89
GOES satellite data for 30 Jun
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 7.9E+04
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.1E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 5.20E+06 (normal)
X-ray background: B4.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
02 Jul 03 Jul 04 Jul
Activity Low Low Low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
10.7cm/SSN 135/89 140/94 145/99
-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 01 Jul: Quiet
Estimated Indices 01 Jul : A K
Australian Region 4 2110 1222
Darwin 4 2210 1222
Townsville 2 2100 0111
Learmonth NA
Canberra 2 2100 0212
Hobart 2 2100 0211
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 01 JUL :
Darwin 0 (Quiet)
Townsville 0 (Quiet)
Learmonth 0 (Quiet)
Canberra 0 (Quiet)
Hobart 10 (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 01 Jul : A
Fredericksburg 6
Planetary 9
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 30 Jun : A K
Fredericksburg 9
Planetary 10 1223 3333
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
02 Jul 12 Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active
periods.
03 Jul 15 Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active
periods.
04 Jul 10 Quiet to Unsettled
COMMENT: A high speed coronal hole solar wind stream is expected
to arrive at the Earth between 2-4 June and produce slightly
increased levels of geomagnetic activity.
-----------------------------------------------------------
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
01 Jul Normal Normal Normal-fair
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
02 Jul Normal Normal Normal-Fair
03 Jul Normal Normal Normal-Fair
04 Jul Normal Normal Normal-Fair
-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date T index
01 Jul 127
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
Equatorial PNG Region:
No data.
Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
02 Jul 125 Near predicted monthly values
03 Jul 125 Near predicted monthly values
04 Jul 125 Near predicted monthly values
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
More information about the ips-dsgr
mailing list