[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 01 July 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 01 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 02 JULY - 04 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:*YELLOW*   ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 01 Jul:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 01 Jul: 135/89

GOES satellite data for 30 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   7.9E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 5.20E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B4.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             02 Jul             03 Jul             04 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   135/89             140/94             145/99




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 01 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 01 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       4   2110 1222
      Darwin               4   2210 1222
      Townsville           2   2100 0111
      Learmonth           NA 
      Canberra             2   2100 0212
      Hobart               2   2100 0211
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 01 JUL : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart              10   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 01 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              9                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 30 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         9
           Planetary             10   1223 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
02 Jul    12    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
03 Jul    15    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
04 Jul    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
COMMENT: A high speed coronal hole solar wind stream is expected 
to arrive at the Earth between 2-4 June and produce slightly 
increased levels of geomagnetic activity. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
01 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
03 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
04 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
01 Jul   127

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
02 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
03 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
04 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 


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