[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 07 February 01
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Feb 8 10:14:00 EST 2001
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 07/2330Z FEBRUARY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 07 FEBRUARY AND FORECAST FOR 08 FEBRUARY - 10 FEBRUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN MAG:GREEN ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 07 Feb: Low
Flares: none.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Feb: 164/118
GOES satellite data for 06 Feb
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 1.1E+05
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.1E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.90E+05 (normal)
X-ray background: C1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
08 Feb 09 Feb 10 Feb
Activity Low Low Low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
10.7cm/SSN 165/119 165/119 165/119
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Feb: Quiet
Estimated Indices 07 Feb : A K
Australian Region 5 2221 1122
Darwin 7 3221 1223
Townsville 5 2221 1122
Learmonth 8 3222 2223
Canberra 6 2321 1122
Hobart 6 2231 1122
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 FEB :
Darwin 20 (Quiet)
Townsville 4 (Quiet)
Learmonth 2 (Quiet)
Canberra 75 (Active)
Hobart 131 (Severe storm)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Feb : A
Fredericksburg 7
Planetary 7
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Feb : A K
Fredericksburg 11
Planetary 11 2143 2323
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
08 Feb 8 Quiet to Unsettled
09 Feb 8 Quiet to Unsettled
10 Feb 8 Quiet to Unsettled
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
07 Feb Normal Normal Normal-fair
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
08 Feb Normal Normal Normal-Fair
09 Feb Normal Normal Normal-Fair
10 Feb Normal Normal Normal-Fair
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date T index
07 Feb 151
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
Equatorial PNG Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for February: 116
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
08 Feb 140 Near predicted monthly values
09 Feb 140 Near predicted monthly values
10 Feb 140 Near predicted monthly values
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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