[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 21 May 24 issued 2330 UT on 21 May 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed May 22 09:30:49 EST 2024
SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/21 MAY 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (21 MAY)
Date T index Conditions
21 May 132 Fair-normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1.9 1931UT possible lower East Pacific/
North American
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 60% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Apr 125
May 114
Jun 116
2. FORECAST (22 MAY - 24 MAY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
22 May 145 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
23 May 145 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
24 May 145 Normal Near to 15% above predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 54 was issued on
19 May and is current for 20-22 May. Maximum usable frequencies
(MUFs) on UT day 21-May were near predicted monthly values to
20% enhanced. Spread F was observed at Hobart and Canberra during
local night hours. Enhanced Conditions were observed at Cocos
Island and Niue. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly
values to 15% enhanced over 22-24 May. Shortwave fadeouts are
possible.
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au
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