[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 19 May 24 issued 2330 UT on 19 May 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/19 MAY 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (19 MAY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
19 May   149    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.9    1344UT  possible   lower  European
  M2.5    1756UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.6    2159UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Apr      125
May      114
Jun      116


2. FORECAST (20 MAY - 22 MAY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
20 May   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
21 May   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
22 May   145    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 54 was issued on 
19 May and is current for 20-22 May. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 19-May were near predicted monthly values to 
25% enhanced in Northern Australia. Spread F was observed at 
Hobart during local night hours. Ionospheric scintillation was 
observed at Darwin and Weipa from 19/1142-1610UT. MUFs are expected 
to be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced over 20-22 
May. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au