[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 November 16 issued 2349 UT on 10 Nov 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 NOVEMBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 Nov    12    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      10
Nov      26
Dec      25


2. FORECAST (11 NOVEMBER - 13 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 Nov    -5    Normal-fair      15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
12 Nov   -15    Fair             20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
13 Nov     0    Fair             Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Variable MUFs observed for all regions over the last 
24 hours with daytime depressions for Northern AUS, Southern 
AUS/NZ regions and notable enhancements during local day for 
Equatorial stations and during local night for some Northern 
AUS stations. Similar conditions are expected for 11Nov. An expected 
increase in geomagnetic activity over the next 2 days is expected 
to result in MUF depressions of ~20% for Northern AUS and Southern 
AUS/NZ regions, possible periods of enhanced MUFs for low latitude 
stations and disturbed ionospheric support for Antarctic regions 
for 11Nov-13Nov.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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