[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 04 November 16 issued 2330 UT on 04 Nov 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/04 NOVEMBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (04 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
04 Nov   -13    Fair-normal    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      10
Nov      26
Dec      25


2. FORECAST (05 NOVEMBER - 07 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
05 Nov     0    Normal           Depressed 5 to 25%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
06 Nov    10    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 20%    
07 Nov    20    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%   

COMMENT: SWS HF Communications Warning 51 was issued on 3 November 
and is current for 4-5 Nov. Depressed to normal MUFs were observed 
for the UT day, 4 November, in the Aus/NZ region. Expect mildly 
depressed to normal conditions to prevail during the next two 
UT days, 5-6 November, for low and mid latitudes, with some degradation 
in HF communication at high latitudes. Note, there were periods 
of sporadic E observed in the Australian region.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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