[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 20 October 14 issued 2335 UT on 20 Oct 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/20 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
20 Oct   100    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.9    0911UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M3.0    1616UT  possible   lower  South American/Atlantic
  M4.5    1634UT  possible   lower  South American/Atlantic
  M1.2    1859UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/North American
  M1.7    2005UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/North American
  M1.3    2029UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/North American
  M1.2    2257UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced
      25-50% 07-15, 21-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced
      20-30% 02-05, 15-18 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 25%
      at Darwin 11-14, 22 UT. Depressions to 30% 22-23 UT
      at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Some stations depressed to 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      90
Oct      86
Nov      83


2. FORECAST (21 OCTOBER - 23 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
21 Oct    90    Normal           Near predicted monthly values. 
                                 Possible depressions to 30% 
                                 at times.
22 Oct   105    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
23 Oct   105    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 50 was issued on 19 
October and is current for 20-21 Oct. Possible sudden ionospheric 
disturbances (SWFs) over the forecast period.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.