[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 05 November 03

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/2330Z NOVEMBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Nov    99    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M5/SF    1052UT  possible   lower  European
 M1/SF    0237UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 04 11 2003 2225UT and is in progress

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  52
2. FORECAST (06 NOVEMBER - 08 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Nov    80    Normal-Fair      10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
07 Nov    50    Fair-Normal      depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
08 Nov    90    Normal           10 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Higher than normal MUFs expecte today. There is a chance 
for briefly depressed MUFs tomorrow if a glancing blow from a 
recent mass ejection arrives sometime today. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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