[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Oct    97    Poor-normal    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30% over UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20-30% after local dawn, persisting into
      local day in S. Aust region.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Isolated depressions, otherwise near predicted monthly 
      values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (17 OCTOBER - 19 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Oct   100    Normal           near predicted monthly values 
18 Oct   100    Normal           near predicted monthly values     
19 Oct   120    Normal           about 10% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 59 was issued on 16 October 
and is current for interval 16-17 October. Expect depressions 
of 20-30% after local dawn today S. Aust. region, persisting 
for some hours. A possible CME induced shock may arrive late 
in the UT day Oct 16. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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