[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 05 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Oct   103    Normal-poor    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M5.9    2100UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
 M1/SF    1046UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to enhanced 15%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed 15-30% at times to near predicted
      monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 15-30% at times to near predicted
      monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (06 OCTOBER - 08 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Oct   110    Normal-Fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to enhanced for northern Australian 
                                 regions and depressed 10-20% 
                                 at times for Southern regions. 
07 Oct   120    Normal           5 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
08 Oct   110    Normal-Fair      Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to enhanced for northern Australian 
                                 regions and depressed 10-20% 
                                 at times for Southern regions.    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 50 was issued on 5 October 
and is current for interval 5-7 October (SWFs) . Degraded HF 
conditions were observed at times for mid-high latitudes for 
5 October as the result of elevated geomagnetic activity. Mildly 
degraded HF conditions may be again observed at times for mid-high 
latitudes for 6 October and again for 8 October. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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