[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 January 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z JANUARY 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Jan   153    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M4.4    0627UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
 M1/2N    0156UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
 M1/SF    0136UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.1    2246UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for January: 109
2. FORECAST (15 JANUARY - 17 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Jan   170    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
16 Jan   170    Normal-fair      10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
17 Jan   170    Normal-fair      10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 3 was issued on 12 January 
and is current for interval 13-15 January (SWFs) . Enhanced MUFs 
expected for today. Mild degradation possible local night hours 
16-17 Jan. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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