[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 12 09 24 issued 0650 UT on 13 Sep 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 13/0630Z SEP 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 12 09 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M5.0    0012UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.1    0404UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.2    0432UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M2.7    0618UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  X1.3    0944UT  probable   all    Mid East/Indian
  M1.2    1322UT  possible   lower  European
  M6.8    1443UT  probable   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.9    2219UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 0254UT on 12
Sep, and a moderate shock was observed in the solar wind at 0821UT on
12 Sep.
A weak (17nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0347UT on 12 Sep.
PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:   168

Observed European Region MUFS:
Enhanced by 20% during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 13 09 2024

Forecast T index:  100
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 30-40%
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   193
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for SEP 2024: 117



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au