[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 28 10 24 issued 0650 UT on 29 Oct 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 29/0630Z OCT 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 28 10 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.8 27/2324UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.3    0409UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.2    1444UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M4.2    1628UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
A strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 0415UT on 28 Oct.
A weak (25nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0447UT on 28 Oct.
PCA Event : 10MeV (S2) Proton/PCA Event Began 27 10 2024 0900UT and
is in progress

Observed T index:   149

Observed European Region MUFS:
Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values
during local night.

2. FORECAST FOR 29 10 2024

Forecast T index:  150
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Enhanced by 20%.
Rest of day: Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: MUF depressions may be experienced following yesterdays
geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   138
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for OCT 2024: 116



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au