[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 10 10 24 issued 0650 UT on 11 Oct 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 11/0630Z OCT 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 10 10 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M7.7 09/2312UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
  M1.3    1201UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.0    1700UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M3.0    2231UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

A moderate (73nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data
at 1515UT on 10 Oct.
PCA Event : Began at 2035UT 09/10, Ended at 2240UT 09/10
 and, Began at 0235UT 10/10, Ended at 0455UT 10/10
 

Observed T index:   111

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30%
during local night.

2. FORECAST FOR 11 10 2024

Forecast T index:   10
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 40%.
Rest of day: Depressed 30-40%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   135
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for OCT 2024: 116



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au