[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 05 05 24 issued 0650 UT on 06 May 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/0630Z MAY 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 05 05 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.2 04/2237UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M6.6 04/2342UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
  M9.1 04/2348UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
  X1.3    0601UT  probable   all    Mid East/Indian
  M1.2    0816UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.3    0938UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M7.4    1000UT  probable   lower  European
  X1.2    1154UT  probable   all    European
  M1.3    1447UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M2.2    1539UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.0    1840UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.3    1952UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American


PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:   119

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 06 05 2024

Forecast T index:   60
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 15%.
Rest of day: becoming depressed 15 to 20% later in UT day
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   101
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for MAY 2024: 114



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au