[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 12 02 24 issued 0650 UT on 13 Feb 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 13/0630Z FEB 2024 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 12 02 24
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0 11/2245UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M6.5    0348UT  probable   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.1    1309UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.4    1548UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M2.6    2118UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American


PCA Event : 10MeV (S1) Proton/PCA Event Began 12 02 2024 0755UT and
is in progress

Observed T index:   121

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 13 02 2024

Forecast T index:  105
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 15%
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   118
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for FEB 2024: 108

A weak (7nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0227UT on 13 Feb.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au