[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 16 09 23 issued 0650 UT on 17 Sep 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 17/0630Z SEP 2023 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 16 09 23
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.7 15/2229UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M2.9    0050UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M2.5    0533UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M3.4    0538UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.


PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:   105

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 17 09 2023

Forecast T index:   95
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: becoming depressed 15% at times later in UT day

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   111
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for SEP 2023:  96

A weak (15nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0232UT on 17 Sep.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au