[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 05 11 23 issued 0650 UT on 06 Nov 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/0630Z NOV 2023 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 05 11 23
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.8    1143UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.7    1432UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
A moderate shock was observed in the solar wind at 0810UT on 05 Nov,
and a moderate shock was observed in the solar wind at 1146UT on 05
Nov.
A weak (14nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0903UT on 05 Nov.
PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:   127

Observed European Region MUFS:
Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values
during local night.

2. FORECAST FOR 06 11 2023

Forecast T index:   75
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 15-20%
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   108
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for NOV 2023: 100



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au