[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 20 05 23 issued 0650 UT on 21 May 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 21/0630Z MAY 2023 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 20 05 23
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.0    0702UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M6.5    0732UT  probable   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.6    1054UT  possible   lower  European
  M8.9    1235UT  probable   lower  European
  M5.6    1500UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.1    1903UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M5.2    2306UT  possible   lower  West Pacific


PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:    62

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 21 05 2023

Forecast T index:   40
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 15%.
Rest of day: Depressed 20-30%
COMMENT: MUF depressions may be experienced following yesterdays
geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    94
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for MAY 2023:  87



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au