[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 08 05 23 issued 0650 UT on 09 May 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/0630Z MAY 2023 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 08 05 23
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.5 07/2234UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M2.3    2025UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

A weak (11nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
1358UT on 08 May.
PCA Event : 10MeV (S1) Proton/PCA Event Began 08 05 2023 1435UT and
is in progress

Observed T index:   128

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15%
during local night. Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 09 05 2023

Forecast T index:   80
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 15-20%

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   113
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for MAY 2023:  87



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au