[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 07 08 23 issued 0650 UT on 08 Aug 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/0630Z AUG 2023 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 07 08 23
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.4    0442UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.0    1615UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.4    1951UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  X1.5    2046UT  probable   all    East Pacific/
                                    North American


PCA Event : 10MeV (S1) Proton/PCA Event Began 08 08 2023 0105UT and
is in progress

Observed T index:    73

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 08 08 2023

Forecast T index:   60
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: becoming depressed 15 to 20% later in UT day
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    97
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for AUG 2023:  88



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au