[ips-dhfpr-euro] ASWFC Daily European HF Report 05 08 23 issued 0650 UT on 06 Aug 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/0630Z AUG 2023 
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 05 08 23
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.6    0723UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.1    0936UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  X1.6    2222UT  probable   all    West Pacific
A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 0209UT on 05
Aug.
A weak (15nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0254UT on 05 Aug.
PCA Event : Began at 1105UT 05/08, Ended at 2000UT 05/08
 and, Began at 2340UT 05/08, Ended at 0435UT 06/08
 

Observed T index:    51

Observed European Region MUFS:
Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local
night. Depressed by 25% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 06 08 2023

Forecast T index:  105
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: MUF depressions may be experienced following yesterdays
geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:   105
ASWFC monthly forcast T index for AUG 2023:  88



Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au