[ips-dhfpr-euro] SWS Daily European HF Report 07 09 17 issued 0650 UT on 08 Sep 2017 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/0630Z SEP 2017 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 07 09 17
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.2 06/2339UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M2.4    0502UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.5    0954UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M7.3    1015UT  probable   lower  European
  X1.4    1436UT  probable   all    South American/
                                    Atlantic
A strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 2230UT on 07 Sep.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 05 09 2017 0020UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:    42

Observed European Region MUFS:
Enhanced by 25% during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 08 09 2017

Forecast T index:  -15
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 20 to 25%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    18
SWS monthly forcast T index for SEP 2017:   5

A weak (13nT) impulse was observed in the SWS magnetometer data at
0537UT on 08 Sep.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of SWS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.