[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 20 09 15 issued 0650 UT on 21 Sep 2015

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 21/0630Z SEP 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 20 09 15
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.4    0504UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M2.1    1804UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
A moderate shock was observed in the solar wind at 0526UT on 20 Sep.
A weak (20nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
0604UT on 20 Sep.
PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:    46

Observed European Region MUFS:
Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local
night.

2. FORECAST FOR 21 09 2015

Forecast T index:   30
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Enhanced by 15%.
Rest of day: becoming depressed 15 to 20% later in UT day
COMMENT:Degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic activity.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    26
IPS monthly forcast T index for SEP 2015:  75



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