[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 22 06 15 issued 0650 UT on 23 Jun 2015

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 23/0630Z JUN 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 22 06 15
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M5.6    1804UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M6.5    1825UT  probable   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 0450UT on 22
Jun, and a strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 1759UT on
22 Jun.
A weak (11nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
0545UT on 22 Jun.
PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 21 06 2015 2020UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:   100

Observed European Region MUFS:
Mostly near predicted monthly values, Enhanced by 20% after local
dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 23 06 2015

Forecast T index:  -15
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: No fof2 data found.
Rest of day: Depressed 30-40%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.

3. 7 DAY AVERAGE T INDEX AND FORECAST MONTHLY T INDEX

Average European T index over last 7 days:    87
IPS monthly forcast T index for JUN 2015:  86



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