[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 10 09 05

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Sep 11 16:50:06 EST 2005


SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 11/0630Z SEP 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 10 09 05
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.8 09/2300UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.1    0354UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.2    0604UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M3.7    0614UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.9    0907UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  X1.2    1643UT  probable   all    South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M4.1    1937UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  X2.1    2211UT  probable   all    West Pacific
A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 0048UT on 10
Sep.

PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 08 09 2005 0235UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:    19

Observed European Region MUFS:
Depressed by 20% during local day, Depressed by 20% during local
night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 11 09 2005

Forecast T index:   -5
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Depressed by 35%.
Rest of day: Depressed 15%/near prediected monthly values
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.


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