[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 21 01 05

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 22/0630Z JAN 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 21 01 05
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.7    1016UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.2    1357UT  possible   lower  European
A strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 1646UT on 21 Jan.
A strong (102nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
1711UT on 21 Jan.
PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 16 01 2005 0220UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:    55

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 15%
during local night. Depressed by 30% after local dawn.

2. FORECAST FOR 22 01 2005

Forecast T index:  110
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: No data available.
Rest of day: Depressed 15%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.


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