[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 17 01 05

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 18/0630Z JAN 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 17 01 05
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.6    0321UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.8    0758UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.8    0828UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  X3.9    0952UT  probable   all    Mid East/Indian
A moderate shock was observed in the solar wind at 0716UT on 17 Jan.

PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 16 01 2005 0220UT and is in
progress

Observed T index:    53

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values during local day, Depressed by 20%
during local night.

2. FORECAST FOR 18 01 2005

Forecast T index:    5
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 20-30%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.


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