[ips-dhfpr-euro] IPS Daily European HF Report 21 10 01

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY EUROPEAN HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 22/0630Z OCT 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
EUROPEAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
MUF SUMMARY/FORECAST INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT IS AUTOMATICALLY
GENERATED FROM REGIONAL IONOSPHERIC DATA

1. SUMMARY FOR 21 10 01
Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M2/2N    1136UT  possible   lower  European
 M1/--    0518UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
ACE EPAM data indicates an energetic ion enhancement event beginning
21/0525UT, which can be a precursor to increased geomagnetic activity
over next 24-36 hours.
A strong shock was observed in the solar wind at 1613UT on 21 Oct.
A moderate (52nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetomter data at
1648UT on 21 Oct.
PCA Event : No event.

Observed T index:   119

Observed European Region MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values.

2. FORECAST FOR 22 10 2001

Forecast T index:   90
 
Forecast European Region MUFS:
Initially today: Near predicted monthly values.
Rest of day: Depressed 20-30%
COMMENT:Strongly degraded HF conditions expected due to geomagnetic
activity. The geomagnetic field was disturbed during the first 6
hours of the forecast day.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060