[Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (02 September 22) issued 0109 UT on 02 Sep 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[rwc]

SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 02 SEPTEMBER 2022
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE
ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx

1. SUMMARY (26 AUGUST - 01 SEPTEMBER)
Date     26    27    28    29    30    31    01
10cm    119   128   252   131   126   113   116
AFr       5    11     7    13    13    12  (  7)
Aaus      1     8     5     8     7     7  (  5)
T        46    58    44    48    54    51    50

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

26 Aug 
Solar:        R2, with an M1.0 at 2327UT, an M2.1 at 1055UT, 
              and an M7.2 at 1214UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

27 Aug 
Solar:        R1, with an M4.8 at 0236UT, an M1.2 at 1138UT, 
              an M1.1 at 1525UT, an M1.8 at 1559UT, and an M1.1 
              at 1649UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

28 Aug 
Solar:        R2, with an M1.4 at 0121UT, and an M6.7 at 1619UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

29 Aug 
Solar:        R2, with an M3.4 at 0338UT, an M8.7 at 1107UT, 
              an M2.6 at 1456UT, an M2.6 at 1705UT, and an M4.7 
              at 1857UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
In the BOM magnetometer data for 29 Aug, a weak (18nT) impulse 
was observed at 0341UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

30 Aug 
Solar:        R1, with an M1.7 at 0140UT, and an M2.1 at 
              1929UT
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

31 Aug 
Solar:        R0
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

01 Sep 
Solar:        R0
Geomagnetic:  G0
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (02 SEPTEMBER - 08 SEPTEMBER)
Solar: 
R0 conditions, with a chance of R1 are expected for 02-03 Sep.
R0-R1 conditions are expected for the rest of the week as a new 
active region rotates onto the northeast quadrant of the solar disk.

Geomagnetic:  
G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected on 02-Sep.
G0 geomagnetic conditions, with a chance of G1 are expected 
on 03-05 Sep due to coronal hole high speed wind stream effects.
G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected on other days.

Frequencies:  
Chance of isolated minor shortwave fadeouts over the week.
HF depressions possible over 03-05 Sep due to coronal hole high
speed wind stream effects, particularly during local night.
MUFs near predicted monthly values to 15% depressed during local 
night on other days.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au