From rwc at ips.gov.au Fri Aug 5 11:03:24 2022 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Fri, 05 Aug 2022 11:03:24 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] SWS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (05 August 22) issued 0103 UT on 05 Aug 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <20220805010324.64F3E60C626E@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 05 AUGUST 2022, BY Space Weather Services, FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (29 JULY - 04 AUGUST) Date 29 30 31 01 02 03 04 10cm 93 91 94 95 98 100 109 AFr 6 8 12 8 10 7 ( 6) Aaus 2 4 7 5 6 5 ( 4) T 42 48 39 49 42 43 46 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 29 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 30 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 31 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 40% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Depressed by 25% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 01 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Depressed by 30% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night and after local dawn. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 15% over the UT day. 02 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 03 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20-30% during local dawn and local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 04 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 45% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (05 AUGUST - 11 AUGUST) Solar: R0, chance of R1. Geomagnetic: G0-G1 on 08-09 Aug. G0 on all other days. Frequencies: Chance of mildly degraded conditions over 05 Aug in the northern Australian region, and 08-09 Aug in the southern Australian region MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days, with mild depressions possible during local night hours. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From rwc at ips.gov.au Fri Aug 12 11:44:11 2022 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Fri, 12 Aug 2022 11:44:11 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] SWS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (12 August 22) issued 0144 UT on 12 Aug 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <20220812014411.70C3E60C626E@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 12 AUGUST 2022, BY Space Weather Services, FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (05 AUGUST - 11 AUGUST) Date 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 10cm 114 116 116 113 109 108 115 AFr 7 5 20 21 15 10 ( 15) Aaus 3 0 13 15 14 11 ( 15) T 47 47 54 64 58 51 53 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 05 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 06 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 07 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 30% over the UT day. 08 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 09 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 40% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 10 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 30% during local day. Depressed by 40% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 11 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G1 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 30% over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (12 AUGUST - 18 AUGUST) Solar: R0 level Geomagnetic: Slight chance of G1 on 12 Aug. Chance of G1 over 17-18 Aug. G0 on all other days. Frequencies: Briefly depressed after local dawn on 17 Aug. Mild degradations are possible on 12 Aug and over 17-18 Aug. MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From rwc at ips.gov.au Fri Aug 19 10:57:37 2022 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Fri, 19 Aug 2022 10:57:37 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (19 August 22) issued 0057 UT on 19 Aug 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <20220819005737.419F960C626E@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 19 AUGUST 2022 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (12 AUGUST - 18 AUGUST) Date 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 10cm 120 124 126 131 129 123 117 AFr 6 10 9 6 5 22 ( 19) Aaus 6 7 2 4 2 15 ( 14) T 59 54 63 60 60 69 70 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 12 Aug Solar: Low Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 13 Aug Solar: Low Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 14 Aug Solar: Low Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 15 Aug Solar: Moderate, with an M1.0 at 1436UT, an M2.7 at 1654UT, and an M1.2 at 2153UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 20% over the UT day. 16 Aug Solar: High, with an M5.1 at 0758UT, and an M1.9 at 2121UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 20% over the UT day. 17 Aug Solar: Moderate, with an M2.0 at 1345UT, and an M1.1 at 1453UT Geomagnetic: G0 In the SWS magnetometer data for 17 Aug, a weak (9nT) impulse was observed at 0259UT. Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 30% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 18 Aug Solar: Moderate, with an M1.4 at 1009UT, an M1.6 at 1055UT, and an M1.3 at 1413UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 40% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (19 AUGUST - 25 AUGUST) Solar: R1, chance of R2 over 19-21 Aug. R0, chance of R1 on all other days. Geomagnetic: G0-G1, chance of G2 on 19-21 Aug. G0, chance of G1 on all other days. Frequencies: Chance of mildly degraded conditions in the southern Australian region over 19-21 Aug. MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days. Shortwave fadeouts are possible. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From rwc at ips.gov.au Fri Aug 26 11:02:04 2022 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2022 11:02:04 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (26 August 22) issued 0102 UT on 26 Aug 2022 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <20220826010204.365B560C626E@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 26 AUGUST 2022 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (19 AUGUST - 25 AUGUST) Date 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 10cm 105 102 97 97 101 108 118 AFr 15 16 13 7 3 4 ( 5) Aaus 12 8 10 5 1 1 ( 1) T 61 59 44 44 41 42 45 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 19 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.6 at 0444UT Geomagnetic: G0 In the SWS magnetometer data for 19 Aug, a weak (10nT) impulse was observed at 1731UT. Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 20 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 30% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 25% over the UT day. 21 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 22 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 35% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 45% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 20% over the UT day. 23 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Depressed by 40% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 24 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 25% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 25 Aug Solar: R0, with an M1.8 at 1951UT, and an M1.0 at 2327UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 30% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Enhanced by 15% over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (26 AUGUST - 01 SEPTEMBER) Solar: R0 levels with R1 possible early in the week. Geomagnetic: G0 conditions. Chance of isolated G1 periods over 29-30 Aug. Frequencies: Chance of isolated minor shortwave fadeouts. Mild depressions possible on 30-31 Aug. MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au