[Ips-wsgr] SWS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (13 October 17) issued 0422 UT on 13 Oct 2017 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 13 15:22:45 EST 2017


SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ####Corrected version##
ISSUED ON 13 OCTOBER 2017, BY Space Weather Services,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (06 OCTOBER - 12 OCTOBER)
Date     06    07    08    09    10    11    12
10cm     84    80    77    72    71    70    70
AFr       6     5     3     2    13    21  ( 25)
Aaus      5     3     2     1     1    ??  ( 16)
T        34    11    13    15    18    22    -7

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

06 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

07 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

08 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

09 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
       Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

11 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active with one isolated Minor Storm period.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 55% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

12 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (13 OCTOBER - 19 OCTOBER)
Solar: 
Very Low to Low

Geomagnetic:  
Active on 13-14 Oct. Possible Minor storm on 13 Oct.  Quiet to unsettled on
other days.

Frequencies:  
Minor to Moderate MUFs depressions possible on 13-14 Oct.
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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