[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (16 October 15) issued 0137 UT on 16 Oct 2015

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 16 12:37:24 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 16 OCTOBER 2015, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (09 OCTOBER - 15 OCTOBER)
Date     09    10    11    12    13    14    15
10cm     81    81    85    89    96   101   107
AFr      15     9     8    16    18    16  ( 13)
Aaus     14     6     8    13    16    13  (  5)
T       -12     2    14    15     4     1     6

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

09 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 45% during local day.
      Depressed by 55% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

10 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 55% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

11 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

12 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

13 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

14 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active, isolated minor storm periods
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

15 Oct 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.1 at 2332UT
Geomagnetic:  Mostly Quiet with some Unsettled periods.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (16 OCTOBER - 22 OCTOBER)
Solar: 
Low to Moderate.

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to Active on 16 Oct,  20 Oct. Mostly Quiet to Unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
Minor to moderate MUF depressions possible on 16 and 20 Oct, 
Minor MUF depressions possible throughout this period on all other days.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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