[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (06 November 15) issued 0047 UT on 06 Nov 2015

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 06 NOVEMBER 2015, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (30 OCTOBER - 05 NOVEMBER)
Date     30    31    01    02    03    04    05
10cm    121   119   124   122   124   114   110
AFr       6     6     9     5    23    31  ( 12)
Aaus      7     5     6     5    21    23  (15)
T        63    66    66    46    55    22    15

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

30 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Townsville depressed 10% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

31 Oct 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.0 at 1752UT, and an C9.0 at 
              1933UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed to 30% 02-07UT.
      Enhanced to 20% 08-11UT.
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed 20% around local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Darwin enhanced 30% local night.
      Townsville depressed 10% 03-07UT.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Mildly depressed after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

01 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced 30% 09-11UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

03 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Unsettled to Minor Storm
In the IPS magnetometer data for 03 Nov, a weak (10nT) impulse 
was observed at 0136UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Nov 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.9 at 0326UT, an M2.6 at 1203UT, 
              and an M3.7 at 1354UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% throughout the day
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Nov 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (06 NOVEMBER - 12 NOVEMBER)
Solar: 
Low

Geomagnetic:  
Minor storm on 7 Nov.  Quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
depressed 20 to 30% on 7 Nov
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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