[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (24 October 14) issued 0118 UT on 24 Oct 2014

Fri Oct 24 12:18:21 EST 2014

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 24 OCTOBER 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (17 OCTOBER - 23 OCTOBER)
Date     17    18    19    20    21    22    23
10cm    146   160   173   185   199   216   227
AFr       6    11     9    17    11    10 (  8)
Aaus      5    12     7    12     9    10 (  6)
T       106    95    90   100    68    93   116

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

17 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

18 Oct 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.6 at 0813UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

19 Oct 
Solar:        High, with an X1.1 at 0506UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

20 Oct 
Solar:        High, with an M3.9 at 0911UT, an M3.0 at 1616UT, 
              an M4.5 at 1634UT, an M1.2 at 1859UT, an M1.7 at 
              2005UT, an M1.3 at 2029UT, and an M1.2 at 2257UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced
      25-50% 07-15, 21-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced
      20-30% 02-05, 15-18 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 25%
      at Darwin 11-14, 22 UT. Depressions to 30% 22-23 UT
      at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Some stations depressed to 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

21 Oct 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.2 at 2257UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
      08-15 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-35% 00-05, 10-12, 22-23 UT. Near
      predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions of
      20-30% 00-01 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressions of 15-30% 00-09 UT then near predicted
      monthly values. Perth MUFs also depressed 15-25%
      09-23 UT. Learmonth and Norfolk Is mostly near
      predicted monthly values 00-23 UT. Night spread F
      observed at Canberra, Hobart and Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values with occasional
      depressions to 25%.

22 Oct 
Solar:        High, with an M8.7 at 0201UT, an M2.7 at 0517UT, 
              an X1.7 at 1428UT, and an M1.4 at 1557UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-30%
      21-22 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 25-40% 00-08, 11-12, 21-23 UT. Near
      predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
      20-22 UT at Townsville. No Townsville data 06-19 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to
      25% 09-18 UT. Learmonth and Perth depressed to 30%
      00-10 UT then near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
      Mawson depressed to 30% 12-18 UT.

23 Oct 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.1 at 0950UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-30%
      11-14 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 25-40% 00-05, 10-11, 14-17, 22-23 UT.
      Enhanced to 20% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced.
      Enhanced 30-50% 06-13 UT at Darwin.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced by 20-30%
      10-16 UT at eastern Australia stations.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

2. FORECAST (24 OCTOBER - 30 OCTOBER)
Solar: Moderate to high.

Geomagnetic: Quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods
on 24 Oct.

Frequencies: Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced.
Possible mild depressions on 24-25 Oct. Sudden ionospheric
disturbances (SWFs) possible.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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