[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (03 October 14) issued 0228 UT on 03 Oct 2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 3 12:28:42 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 03 OCTOBER 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (26 SEPTEMBER - 02 OCTOBER)
Date     26    27    28    29    30    01    02
10cm    170   181   181   175   162   155   149
AFr      12    12     6     7    12    10 (  8)
Aaus     12    10     7     9     8     7 (  5)
T        96    99   106   117   118   100   103

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

26 Sep 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced to 40% during local day.
      Enhanced to 70% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced to 20% 08-11UT,
      Depressed to 20% 11-16UT,
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with extended 
      periods of disturbance.

27 Sep 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed 15% 03-06UT, 
      Otherwise near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Townsville enhanced 20% local day,
      Depressed to 30% around local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with
      periods of disturbance.

28 Sep 
Solar:        high, with an M5.1 at 0258UT, and an M1.0 at 1737UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
In the IPS magnetometer data for 28 Sep, a weak (10nT) impulse 
was observed at 1315UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Darwin enhanced 25% 10-14UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to slightly 
      enhanced over the UT day.

29 Sep 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 55% during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

30 Sep 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

01 Oct 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M1.5 at 1748UT, and an M7.3 at 1901UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (03 OCTOBER - 09 OCTOBER)
Solar: 
Low to moderate activity early in week.

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to unsettled conditions.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values or enhanced.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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