[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (31 January 14) issued 0146 UT on 31 Jan 2014

Fri Jan 31 12:46:36 EST 2014

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 31 JANUARY 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (24 JANUARY - 30 JANUARY)
Date     24    25    26    27    28    29    30
10cm    136   133   138   144   157   156   161
AFr       3     5     3     3     3     6 (  7)
Aaus      3     4     4     3     5     6 (  3)
T       113   131   105   118   124   122   128

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

24 Jan 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Jan 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

26 Jan 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

27 Jan 
Solar:        Moderate (M1.0 at 0125 UT, M1.1 at
              0212 UT, M4.9 at 2211 UT)
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-40% 01-14, 17-18 UT. Enhanced 60-70%
      15-16 UT. Near predicted monthly values at other
      times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-05, 22-23 UT.
      Enhanced 20-40% at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
      Blanketing sporadic E 02-03 UT at Hobart.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

28 Jan 
Solar:        High (M1.5 at 0409 UT, M3.6 at 0731 UT, M1.4
              at 1138 UT, M1.3 at 1247 UT, M3.5 at 1526 UT,
              M4.9 at 1940 UT, M2.6 at 2216 UT)
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 25-55% 07-19 UT. Near predicted monthly
      values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 15-25% 09-21 UT at Darwin and 25-30%
      06-20 UT at Townsville. Near predicted monthly
      values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced 15-30% 05-20 UT. Perth frequencies enhanced
      15-30% enhanced 00-01, 10-23 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 40% enhanced.

29 Jan 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Mostly quiet.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-45% 08-19 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 15-40% 02-05, 09-20 UT at Darwin.
      Enhanced 15-35% 01-06, 10-23 UT at Townsville.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-09 UT. Enhanced
      15-35% 10-21 UT. Perth MUFs 15-35% enhanced 00-23 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

30 Jan 
Solar:        High (M2.1 at 0639 UT, M1.1 at 0817 UT, 
              M6.6 at 1612 UT)
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-40% 08-18 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 15-30% 00-15 UT then near predicted
      monthly values at Darwin. Enhanced 20-30% 00-08,
      13-14 UT, otherwise near predicted monthly values
      at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly 15-30% enhanced with frequencies near
      predicted monthly values at Christchurch and Hobart
      00-10 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

2. FORECAST (31 JANUARY - 06 FEBRUARY)
Solar: Moderate. Possible high solar activity.

Geomagnetic: Quiet to unsettled conditions. Active with
 possible minor storm levels on 2 Feb.

Frequencies: Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
 Propagation conditions may become degraded at times due to
 spread F and sporadic E on 2 Feb.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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