[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (10 January 14) issued 0143 UT on 10 Jan 2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jan 10 12:43:25 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 10 JANUARY 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (03 JANUARY - 09 JANUARY)
Date     03    04    05    06    07    08    09
10cm    182   215   218   204   237   195   184
AFr       7     6     4     4     7     8 ( 15)
Aaus      7     7     4     2     6     5 ( 10)
T       109   124   127   124   135   140   124

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

03 Jan 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.2 at 2218UT, an M1.0 at 1251UT, 
              and an M1.1 at 2114UT
Geomagnetic:  Mostly Quiet to Unsettled with isolated Active 
              periods at some high latitude locations
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Jan 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.3 at 1027UT, an M4.0 at 1950UT, 
              and an M1.9 at 2259UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Jan 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.9 at 2259UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

06 Jan 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

07 Jan 
Solar:        high, with an M1.0 at 0353UT, an M7.2 at 1013UT, 
              and an X1.2 at 1832UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled

In the IPS magnetometer data for 07 Jan, a weak (13nT) impulse 
was observed at 1514UT.

Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

08 Jan 
Solar:        moderate, with an M3.6 at 0347UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

09 Jan 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active

In the IPS magnetometer data for 09 Jan, a weak (17nT) impulse 
was observed at 2011UT.

Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

 
2. FORECAST (10 JANUARY - 16 JANUARY)
Solar: 
Moderate activity possible early in week.

Geomagnetic:  
Active on 12 Jan.   Quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values to enhanced.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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